Can Pakistan still qualify for semifinals of World Cup 2023 after New Zealand lost to South Africa? Scenarios explained with points table

Here’s how Pakistan can still reach the semifinals of ODI World Cup 2023.

Published : Oct 31, 2023 11:57 IST - 1 MIN READ

Pakistan captain Babar Azam having a word with coach Grant Bradburn (R) as he inspects the pitch ahead of their match against Bangladesh.
Pakistan captain Babar Azam having a word with coach Grant Bradburn (R) as he inspects the pitch ahead of their match against Bangladesh. | Photo Credit: RITU RAJ KONWAR
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Pakistan captain Babar Azam having a word with coach Grant Bradburn (R) as he inspects the pitch ahead of their match against Bangladesh. | Photo Credit: RITU RAJ KONWAR

First, here is how the points table looks after match No. 32 between New Zealand and England:

Team Played Won Lost Points Net Run Rate
1. South Africa 7 6 1 12 +2.086
2. India 6 6 0 12 +1.405
3. Australia 6 4 2 8 +0.970
4. New Zealand 7 4 3 8 +0.484
5. Pakistan 7 3 4 6 -0.024
6. Afghanistan 6 3 3 6 -0.718
7. Sri Lanka 6 2 4 4 -0.275
8. Netherlands 6 2 4 4 -1.277
9. Bangladesh 7 1 6 2 -1.446
10. England 6 1 5 2 -1.418

Remaining fixtures: NZ, ENG

Four losses on the trot had marred Pakistan’s World Cup dreams, which started with two resounding wins against the Netherlands and Sri Lanka. 

But its win against Bangladesh, Pakistan moved ahead of Afghanistan into fifth place with six points. It now needs to win its remaining games to get to 10 points.

Further, at least one of New Zealand or Australia has to lose two games or more. Thirdly, Sri Lanka has to lose at least one game, preferably against lower-ranked Bangladesh. 

Lastly, Afghanistan has to win only one. If it wins two, only one of Afghanistan and Pakistan will advance. 

Here is how Pakistan makes it past the group stage:

PAK vs BAN - PAK*

NZ vs SA - SA*

IND vs SL - IND

NED vs AFG - AFG

NZ vs PAK - PAK

ENG vs AUS - AUS

IND vs SA - IND/SA

BAN vs SL - BAN

AUS vs AFG - AUS

ENG vs NED - ENG

NZ vs SL - SL

SA vs AFG - SA

AUS vs BAN - AUS

ENG vs PAK - PAK

IND vs NED - IND

* - Games which have been completed

Here, Pakistan ends up with 10 points while New Zealand and Afghanistan have eight points each. Sri Lanka too fails to advance with six points.

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