How can Pakistan qualify for the semifinal of ICC World Cup 2023?

Ahead of the crucial encounter against New Zealand in Bengaluru, here are the scenarios explaining Pakistan’s chances of making it to the semifinals of ICC World Cup 2023.

Published : Nov 03, 2023 22:06 IST - 2 MINS READ

Pakistan’s captain Babar Azam bats during a practice session ahead of the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup 2023 match against New Zealand.
Pakistan’s captain Babar Azam bats during a practice session ahead of the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup 2023 match against New Zealand. | Photo Credit: PTI
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Pakistan’s captain Babar Azam bats during a practice session ahead of the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup 2023 match against New Zealand. | Photo Credit: PTI

Pakistan ended its run of defeats at the 2023 ICC Cricket World Cup with a comprehensive win against Bangladesh in Kolkata on October 31.

With this win, Pakistan took its points tally to six points, thereby staying in contention for a place in the semifinals.

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Ahead of the crucial encounter against New Zealand in Bengaluru on Saturday, here are the scenarios explaining Pakistan’s chances of making it to the final four of the ongoing World Cup.

Scenario 1: PAK loses to NZ

A defeat against New Zealand will put an end to Pakistan’s semifinal hopes at the 2023 World Cup as New Zealand and one of Afghanistan or Australia is guaranteed to finish the competition with 10 points. Pakistan will be stranded on six points from seven games and can only take its tally up to eight points if it defeats England in its final encounter.

Scenario 2: PAK beats NZ and ENG; NZ loses to SL

A win against New Zealand in Bengaluru will keep Pakistan’s chances of making the semifinal alive. Pakistan will then look for a favour from Sri Lanka, which plays New Zealand in its final group match on November 9.

If Sri Lanka manages to win that contest, and Pakistan beats England in its final match, it will finish on 10 points, two ahead of the Kiwis. Pakistan will then need other favourable results to go its way to make it through to the last-four stage.

The team will be then hoping that one of Australia or South Africa beats Afghanistan to restrict it from going beyond the 10-point mark, after which Net Run Rate will come into play. If Afghanistan wins both its matches and Australia wins two out of its remaining three, Pakistan will be eliminated.

Scenario 3: PAK beats NZ and ENG; NZ beats SL

If New Zealand manages a win against Sri Lanka in its last match of the league phase, then Pakistan will be embroiled in a Net Run Rate tussle with the Black Caps after finishing level on points with them - provided it wins its final encounter against England.

In addition to this Net Run Rate calculation, the team will also require the results from the Afghanistan vs Australia and Afghanistan vs South Africa matches to go its way to qualify for the semifinal with 10 points.

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